The FanDuel MLB DFS Picks of last night have been also a mixed bag of production and frustration.
We finished up on the perfect side of the Jose Berrios/Robbie Ray argument as Berrios was really good in his outing against the visiting White Sox. The right-hander hurled 7.1 innings of all two-run ball to go along with eight punchouts, making his 13th win of the season in the procedure. He walked four, struck out seven, although ray allowed only one hit and went six innings and then also got a no-decision.
Since they scored eight runs against a fighting Reds bullpen and Kevin Gausman, our four-man Cubs stack showed out. The major hit came from Kyle Schwarber who clubbed a three-run home run from Gausman in the very first inning. Nicholas Castellanos remained hot with yet another double -- his 55th of this season -- while he added a pair of RBI also. Ben Zobrist delivered value using a set of singles, a run scored and an RBI while Nico Hoerner scored. I enjoy.
The bothersome part of the lineup came from the form of our Brewers stack. Milwaukee scored five runs, but Cory Spangenberg of players did damage with a triple and a homer. A zero was submitted by yasmani Grandal, Mike Moustakas gave us just one walk while Eric Thames delivered value with a double, one and a run scored.
All told, it was a great lineup with the exception of just two players, but I will take these outcomes and the gains attached.
Let's turn our attention to the big primary slate that is 14-game of tonight and determine if we could make it 2 in a row!
P -- Justin Verlander (HOU) -- $12,000 vs. TEX
I really did look around to see if I could squeeze some respect out of a different pitcher on this background for GPPs, however, the fact is that I just cannot fade Verlander in this matchup as his strikeout upside is just massive contrary to the swing-and-miss Texas Rangers. Not merely is Verlander entering this trip as the AL Cy Young favorite because of his 2.58 ERA, 18 wins and massive 12.01 K/9 rate, but he chooses on a Rangers team that possesses a 25.4% K-rate versus right-handed pitching this season, great to the fifth-highest markers in baseball. As he has had his share of outings against them this season verlander is knowledgeable about this Texas lineup. Tonight will mark the sixth start of the year for Verlander against these Rangers, and he is pitched to a 2.70 ERA with a 11.70 K/9 rate against them across the first five. However, when we take out his first start of the season against Texas -- and also next start complete -- where he allowed four earned runs and struck out just four, Verlander owns a 1.73 ERA and a 12.12 K/9 clip against them over his final four starts involving a 12-strikeout effort against them at his last start against the Rangers. Considering I have discovered a excellent lineup in spite of the pricey Verlander in the top, I think we all must be rolling with the future Hall of Famer tonight.
C/1B -- Freddie Freeman (ATL) -- $3,800 vs. PHI
It's an NL East clash tonight in Atlanta as the Braves take on the Phillies in hopes of buring that the Phillies and for all from the NL playoff race. I think they will do just that tonight behind a strong offensive operation against right-hander Vince Velasquez and a weak Phillies'pencil. Velasquez possesses a 4.95 ERA and also 5.44 FIP over the season while allowing home runs at a sizable 2.08 HR/9 clip. In addition, he possesses a 5.40 ERA and also 5.69 FIP on the road to go along with a 4.19 BB/9 rate that is miles higher than his 2.43 markers in your home, so I am all in to a four-man Braves stack in this 1 tonight, beginning here with Freeman. It has been a year old mashing right-hander pitching for the long time Braves first baseman as he has published a big-time .291 ISO, 1.030 OPS, .420 wOBA and a large 159 wRC+ from righties here in 2019. The amounts are quite similar at home, no matter how the power jumps to some .317 ISO at SunTrust Park vs righties, a venue that caters well to left-handed power hitters like Freeman. He doesn't have many extra-base hits against him, but Freeman has gone 9 for 26 (.346) using a pair doubles in his career against Velasquez. He snapped a mini-slump with a double check his last time out, so let's look to construct this effort from a struggling pitcher tonight off.
2B -- Wilmer Flores (ARI) -- $2,600 vs. MIA
I certainly will have to obtain some value in this lineup together with an expensive Verlander in the top and pair of pricey Braves bats, and I have found a three-man value pile from the Diamondbacks on this slate, a team projected to score 5.1 runs against left-hander Caleb Smith along with a feeble Marlins bullpen. There is a couple of things working in the D-backs' favor tonight. They rank third in baseball using a .353 team wOBA versus pitching, thanks in part . Second, after a nice start to his season, Smith was hit hard of late, posting a 4.81 ERA because the All-Star fracture with a 6.39 mark in August and a 4.76 mark up to now in September. Eventually, Smith owns a 4.77 ERA, 5.87 FIP, 5.05 xFIP and a 2.59 HR/9 speed on the road compared to a 3.56 ERA, 3.90 FIP, 4.33 xFIP plus a 1.23 HR/9 speed in the home. The home run rate is more than twice the street than at home. Input Flores who is once again mashing left handed pitching this year to the tune of a .340 typical, .309 ISO, 1.023 OPS, .420 wOBA and also a 160 wRC+. These are some very figures. He also owns lefties for an even better .380 ISO, 1.186 OPS, .482 wOBA and massive 200 wRC+ from lefties in the home. There's just a ton to like about the matchup ahead against the fighting Smith.
3B -- Josh Donaldson (ATL) -- $3,400 vs. PHI
Next guy up in our Braves heap is Donaldson who is placing himself in a great place to make some big bucks as a free agent against this winter, thanks in large part to his work at home against right-wing pitching in 2019. Donaldson has mashed right-handers entire as a part of his own reverse-splits this season as he's submitted a .280 ISO, .931 OPS, .387 wOBA and 137 wRC+ to the season against opposite-handed pitching, though he's posted powerful numbers against lefties also. However, his very best split is in the home from righties -- by far. In SunTrust Park versus right-handed pitching this year, the former AL MVP has posted an eye-popping .397 ISO, 1.209 OPS, .486 wOBA along with 202 wRC+. To put it differently, his bat has been 102% more effective than league average at home versus righties this year. This things as Donaldson isn't the hitter on the road where he has submitted a .193 ISO along with .719 OPS against righties this year. Donaldson is enjoying a major month of September to boot as he's posted a .289 ISO, 1.016 OPS, .425 wOBA and 162 wRC+ to the month for this point with the latter figure linking July due to his most rewarding month from this 2019 season. Sign me up daily here with all the veteran slugger.
SS -- Nick Ahmed (ARI) -- $2,500 vs. MIA
Keep an eye on the confirmed beginning lineups as we move forward during the day since Ahmed left last night's match with a cut on his hands afterwards taking a grounder from it, however he was convinced post-game that he will play tonight and he's been a horse this season for its D-backs, so I think he will begin this game tonight. That is a fantastic thing because there's loads of upside down in his bat at a matchup from the Smith. Ahmed has witnessed his pop growth since the beginning of the 2018 season, and that has been the situation here in 2019 too, largely against left-wing pitching. He will go into play tonight wearing a impressive .256 ISO, .961 OPS, .394 wOBA along with 143 wRC+ to this season versus right-handed pitching. The news is better as his best split -- undoubtedly -- will be at home versus lefties where he has touched them up to get a .328 ISO, 1.110 OPS, .447 wOBA and 178 wRC+. Heck, we even get a base upside with Ahmed tonight because he has stolen seven luggage on top of his 18 homers. He is not having a terribly successful month for this point, but I think in the numbers he is posted at house versus lefties -- much more so from a pitcher that has struggled on the road and of late as well.
OF -- Nick Markakis (ATL) -- $2,600 vs. PHI
Next person up in our Braves heap is Markakis who simply doesn't get the credit he deserves to discover how great his bat is still against right-wing pitching. He doesn't get much attention because of the overall shortage of home run power because he owns only a .159 ISO versus righties this season and has slugged just nine homers in a league where the ball is about the increase to be certain. Nevertheless, he still owns an .856 ISO, .363 wOBA along with 121 wRC+ vs righties this season. His bat is 21 percent greater than league average versus right-handed pitching. A frequent theme within this lineup as been gamers playing in their very best divide, and that is how it is with Markakis as well. The veteran outfielder has been quite good at home versus righties where he has posted a .184 ISO, .936 OPS, .395 wOBA and 142 wRC+. He has also been very good since overlooking about six weeks of action with a fractured left wrist -- generally a difficult injury to come back from. In three games since coming, he has gone 7 for 14 (.500) having a double, two runs scored and three RBI. Simply has not missed a beat. He is also a .400 hitter using a dual in 20 at-bats contrary to Velasquez in his career. At this cost, there is a whole lot of value to be unlocked tonight.
OF -- Matt Joyce (ATL) -- $2,400 vs. PHI
Completing our four-man stack is Joyce that has left his big league cash hitting right-handed pitching throughout his journeyman career. The batting average is in fact very good against both genders' handedness, however he's logged just 20 at-bats versus lefties using a .300 typical to show for it. Against righties, however, he's hit .293 and the power is much better using a .185 ISO, however, also an .884 OPS, .379 wOBA along with 132 wRC+. The bat is indeed productive versus righties because of a large 16% drop speed that has his OPS, wOBA and wRC+ characters soaring. Once again, we have a hitter hitting in a successful breakup with Joyce. At home against righties, the numbers improve to some .203 ISO, .952 OPS, .404 wOBA and 148 wRC+. His walk rate is actually lower at home than on the street, but I will happily take the energy and overall production for a outcome. We also possess Joyce loving his best month of the season here in September as he has submitted a .241 ISO, 1.011 OPS, .428 wOBA and 164 wRC+ to the month for this point. It is a sample, but it is well worth noting that he is also 2 for 2 with a homer and a walk in his career from Velasquez. I operate in what should be a productive Braves this day and'll take the worth.
OF -- Mark Canha (OAK) -- $3,200 vs. KC
I'd $3,200 left to an outfielder following rostering Verlander, my stack and a three-man D-backs pile, and of the set my pick of this litter is Canha who's having a breakout year at 30 decades old. I was arrested to choose the Indians' Franmil Reyes awarded his hard power power, but I enjoy Canha's breaks as he takes on right-hander Jorge Lopez and the Kansas City Royals tonight at the O.Co Coliseum in Oakland. Entering tonight to play, Canha has published inverse splits here in 2019. He possesses a .285 typical, .247 ISO, .940 OPS, .395 wOBA and 153 wRC+ vs right-handed pitching this season -- most of which can be superior to his figures versus lefties. We again have a player enjoying his split in this matchup, although this isn't a recording. Canha has owned right-handers at home this year where he's posted a .258 ISO, 1.058 OPS, .442 wOBA and 184 wRC+. That wRC+ figure is far-and-away that his split of them all. After a August, Canha has slowed down at the plate in September. He's played in three games and has a homer in that time as well. Remember Lopez owns a 5.44 ERA and 1.62 HR/9 over the summer, so I will take Canha's favorable splits against a targetable starting pitcher .
UTIL -- Carson Kelly (ARI) -- $2,500 vs. MIA
Completing our pile along with this lineup is Kelly who's done some damage against left-wing pitchers this year. Kelly has enjoyed a true nice year this winter, after coming over from the Cardinals from the Paul Goldschmidt trade. In his first full year in the bigs, Kelly has submitted a .247 ISO overall with 18 home runs despite adhering fewer than 350 plate appearances over 105 games to the point. That said, the bat has been surreal against lefties that he has owned to the song of a .363 typical, .325 ISO, 1.156 OPS, .462 wOBA and a 187 wRC+. That is so impressive on your first year in the big leagues. For the first time within this lineup, we've got a hitter not hitting his best split. Nevertheless, I don't think I will argue over Kelly's .220 ISO, .977 OPS, .397 wOBA and 145 wRC+. It is a little bit of a bummer that Kelly has suffered a month of September as he snapped a six-game hitless streak with a hit and a run scored last night but there is a silver lining. He a walk at a tiny sample from Smith and 1 for 2 with an RBI. Given the pile and the cost, I am loving the worthiness Kelly brings to the table in a matchup tonight that is really attractive.
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